Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.390078 0.449930 0.514951 0.590709 0.676425 0.770267 0.880653
2025-10-12 0.303043 0.388685 0.490714 0.620610 0.780905 0.971508 1.214523
2025-10-19 0.248673 0.345258 0.468449 0.635741 0.855430 1.132332 1.505736
2025-10-26 0.208805 0.309851 0.446271 0.641631 0.911485 1.267929 1.770525
2025-11-02 0.177092 0.278848 0.423312 0.640050 0.952850 1.382984 2.012975
2025-11-09 0.150393 0.250173 0.398541 0.630781 0.979498 1.476617 2.229740
2025-11-16 0.129091 0.226062 0.376595 0.621630 1.003136 1.565089 2.442783
2025-11-23 0.109243 0.201108 0.349775 0.601031 1.005954 1.621134 2.609875
2025-11-30 0.103042 0.197820 0.356629 0.633510 1.092588 1.807921 2.984748
2025-12-07 0.089046 0.178919 0.335271 0.617134 1.098842 1.869852 3.169851
2025-12-14 0.076906 0.161580 0.314375 0.598878 1.099463 1.921497 3.340326
2025-12-21 0.067274 0.147547 0.297571 0.585641 1.106655 1.983120 3.529381
2025-12-28 0.062251 0.142056 0.296083 0.600267 1.164349 2.134154 3.879097
2026-01-04 0.059469 0.140787 0.302466 0.630095 1.251667 2.341654 4.338072
2026-01-11 0.055307 0.135988 0.301359 0.645395 1.313371 2.508370 4.736710
2026-01-18 0.050648 0.129400 0.295846 0.651363 1.357743 2.646756 5.093398
2026-01-25 0.045824 0.121697 0.287083 0.649759 1.387089 2.759261 5.409689
2026-02-01 0.040901 0.113002 0.275166 0.640364 1.400136 2.842122 5.676377
2026-02-08 0.036566 0.105051 0.263906 0.631086 1.412331 2.923581 5.944427
2026-02-15 0.031924 0.095571 0.248054 0.610204 1.398899 2.954862 6.119458
2026-02-22 0.031289 0.096469 0.256259 0.643130 1.499617 3.212836 6.739823
2026-03-01 0.027666 0.088733 0.243106 0.626529 1.494017 3.261122 6.957522
2026-03-08 0.024355 0.081295 0.229751 0.608021 1.482566 3.296513 7.151199